Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -340 IDST +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -6.2 (-2.2) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -6.9 (-2.9) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -6.4 (-2.4) | 141.4 (+0.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -6.6 (-2.6) | 139.8 (+2.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PRST 85 – 78 IDST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | PRST 88 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#281) | -12.8 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#286) | -2.11 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#269) | -2.20 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#320) | 0.389 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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