Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -218 IDST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -5.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.0 (+2.0) | 138.0 (+25.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -3.7 (+3.3) | 139.0 (+24.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.5 (+2.5) | 139.9 (+23.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.1 (+1.9) | 139.4 (+23.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | PRST 88 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IDST 68 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#145) | -4.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#148) | -1.14 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#149) | -1.21 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#143) | 0.448 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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