Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -325 IDST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +23 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -5.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.6 (+17.4) | 135.1 (+17.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -5.1 (+17.9) | 138.1 (+14.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -5.3 (+17.7) | 137.4 (+15.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.9 (+17.1) | 135.6 (+17.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PRST 85 – 78 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IDST 68 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#140) | -0.9 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#118) | -0.78 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#121) | -0.86 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#137) | 0.458 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.