Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -6.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -7.0 (+17.0) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -6.7 (+17.3) | 143.9 (-5.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.8 (+17.2) | 144.4 (-6.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -6.7 (+17.3) | 144.3 (-6.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#33) | 7.2 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#65) | 0.90 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#45) | 1.40 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#48) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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