Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | UCI -320 LBSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -6.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -7.0 (-2.0) | 136.1 (+12.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.2 (-0.2) | 136.7 (+12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.3 (-0.3) | 139.4 (+9.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.8 (+0.2) | 138.1 (+10.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Home | 9-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#111) | 0.3 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#123) | 0.54 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#121) | 0.67 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#98) | 0.546 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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