Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
| Money | UNCO -1000 IDHO +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +4 | 192 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -11.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -10.3 (-6.3) | 158.5 (+33.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -10.3 (-6.3) | 160.6 (+31.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -10.3 (-6.3) | 162.5 (+29.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -11.5 (-7.5) | 162.0 (+30.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#216) | -11.5 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#192) | -1.76 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#202) | -1.98 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#142) | 0.416 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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