Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -320 UTM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -5.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -4.5 (+8.5) | 145.1 (+17.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -4.3 (+8.7) | 146.0 (+17.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -3.5 (+9.5) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -4.1 (+8.9) | 147.2 (+15.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTM 64 – 49 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2025 | UTM 86 – 62 TNTC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | UTM 70 – 67 TNTC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | TNTC 71 – 66 UTM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TNTC 89 – 85 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#265) | -8.5 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#314) | -2.16 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#308) | -2.51 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#307) | 0.423 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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