Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | LMU -250 PAC +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -7.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -6.6 (+6.4) | 138.6 (+28.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -6.5 (+6.5) | 141.2 (+25.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -6.2 (+6.8) | 142.2 (+24.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.2 (+6.8) | 142.1 (+24.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#212) | -7.0 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#196) | -1.41 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#183) | -1.77 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#200) | 0.422 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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