Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | HCU +145 AMCC -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -5.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.8 (-2.2) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.1 (-1.9) | 145.9 (-0.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -3.2 (-1.8) | 147.7 (-2.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -4.0 (-1.0) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#342) | -4.9 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#339) | -1.04 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#336) | -1.26 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#323) | 0.439 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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