Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | WOF -475 MER +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -9.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -7.2 (-0.2) | 135.0 (+6.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -7.5 (-0.5) | 136.5 (+4.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -7.6 (-0.6) | 136.8 (+4.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.5 (-0.5) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WOF 77 – 66 MER |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WOF 69 – 49 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#110) | -2.2 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#135) | 0.14 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#129) | 0.06 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#164) | 0.515 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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