Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -125 WKU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +17 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -3.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -3.0 (+14.0) | 146.2 (-25.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -5.2 (+11.8) | 147.7 (-26.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -5.2 (+11.8) | 147.6 (-26.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -5.1 (+11.9) | 146.7 (-25.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | WKU 82 – 80 MTSU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WKU 65 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MTSU 87 – 77 WKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 57 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 85 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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