Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -260 MILW +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -6.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -4.2 (+8.8) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -4.3 (+8.7) | 142.7 (-13.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -4.8 (+8.2) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -4.7 (+8.3) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2022 | UIC 80 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 8-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#290) | -10.9 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#285) | -2.19 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#298) | -2.62 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#252) | 0.409 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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