Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +130 UIC -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -1.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -0.5 (-10.5) | 142.7 (+6.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -1.4 (-9.6) | 142.6 (+6.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.3 (-9.7) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.7 (-10.3) | 143.7 (+5.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | UIC 71 – 58 MILW |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 9-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#326) | -7.0 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#336) | -1.31 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#337) | -1.80 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#337) | 0.459 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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