Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -160 UIC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -1.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -0.3 (-4.3) | 136.2 (+21.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.4 (-4.4) | 135.9 (+22.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.1 (-3.9) | 136.1 (+21.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.0 (-4.0) | 136.6 (+21.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2022 | UIC 80 – 69 MILW |
| Feb 27, 2022 | UIC 71 – 58 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 9-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#309) | -6.8 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#326) | -1.17 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#319) | -1.88 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#329) | 0.429 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 11.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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