Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -270 OMA +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +21 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -8.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.4 (+12.6) | 154.5 (+14.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -7.7 (+13.3) | 155.0 (+14.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -6.7 (+14.3) | 156.2 (+12.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -8.5 (+12.5) | 155.9 (+13.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | STMN 68 – 53 OMA |
| Feb 13, 2026 | OMA 98 – 94 STMN |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OMA 85 – 75 STMN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | STMN 95 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | OMA 89 – 78 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#307) | -14.9 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#322) | -2.51 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#312) | -3.31 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#317) | 0.404 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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