Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | TAR -1100 LAM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +8 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -15.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -11.5 (-3.5) | 128.2 (-22.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -12.2 (-4.2) | 129.5 (-23.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -13.1 (-5.1) | 131.3 (-25.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -15.1 (-7.1) | 131.7 (-25.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | TAR 62 – 57 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 0-18 |
| Home | 10-5 | 2-11 |
| Away | 4-12 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#191) | -13.7 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#211) | -4.68 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#196) | -5.91 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#190) | 0.337 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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