Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | TAR -8.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -6.9 (+1.9) | 131.6 (-12.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -8.0 (+3.0) | 131.5 (-12.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -8.8 (+3.8) | 132.1 (-13.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -8.6 (+3.6) | 129.4 (-10.4) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | TAR 57 – 49 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 9-9 |
| Home | 2-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-18 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L27 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#335) | -0.8 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.35 (#356) | -0.45 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.53 (#356) | -0.13 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#357) | 0.497 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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