Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -160 ASU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -2.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.8 (-4.8) | 141.9 (-17.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.5 (-3.5) | 138.0 (-14.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.7 (-3.7) | 139.5 (-15.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.9 (-3.9) | 140.6 (-16.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#108) | 4.9 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#151) | 1.00 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#139) | 1.10 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#208) | 0.535 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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