Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -1000 MIZ +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +20 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -18.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -14.2 (+5.8) | 133.6 (-3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -15.7 (+4.3) | 134.3 (-4.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -15.9 (+4.1) | 135.9 (-5.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -15.2 (+4.8) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LSU 78 – 70 MIZ |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 67 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LSU 84 – 80 MIZ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MIZ 81 – 76 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MIZ 87 – 77 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#14) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#34) | 0.43 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#31) | 0.63 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#26) | 0.502 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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