Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +400 ARIZ -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -12.9 (+28.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -8.2 (+24.2) | 151.7 (-9.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -7.6 (+23.6) | 150.9 (-8.9) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -8.2 (+24.2) | 152.5 (-10.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -7.6 (+23.6) | 153.3 (-11.3) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 18-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#89) | 22.2 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#71) | 3.92 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#77) | 4.64 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#113) | 0.648 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 43.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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