Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -2.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -1.1 (-3.9) | 134.6 (+28.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -1.2 (-3.8) | 134.7 (+28.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.0 (-4.0) | 134.6 (+28.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -1.0 (-4.0) | 135.7 (+27.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | IU 77 – 47 MINN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | MINN 73 – 64 IU |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | IU 70 – 58 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#99) | 11.0 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#74) | 1.76 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#82) | 2.24 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#93) | 0.553 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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