Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -250 IU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -6.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -4.3 (-16.3) | 148.9 (-20.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -5.5 (-17.5) | 148.2 (-20.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.9 (-17.9) | 150.7 (-22.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -6.2 (-18.2) | 152.0 (-24.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | IU 77 – 47 MINN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | MINN 73 – 64 IU |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
| Jan 26, 2023 | IU 61 – 57 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#66) | 5.2 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#83) | 1.38 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#72) | 1.66 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#136) | 0.548 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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