Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +450 IU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -12.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -10.4 (+6.4) | 137.1 (-19.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -11.6 (+7.6) | 136.6 (-18.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -11.2 (+7.2) | 135.9 (-17.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -10.2 (+6.2) | 137.1 (-19.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | IU 77 – 47 MINN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | MINN 73 – 64 IU |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | IU 70 – 58 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 15-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#214) | 13.7 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | 2.18 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#219) | 2.84 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#252) | 0.584 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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