Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | IU -310 MINN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +30 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | IU -8.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -7.2 (+22.8) | 137.4 (-13.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -6.8 (+23.2) | 136.9 (-12.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -6.6 (+23.4) | 138.5 (-14.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -6.3 (+23.7) | 137.0 (-13.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | MINN 73 – 64 IU |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | IU 70 – 58 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
| Jan 26, 2023 | IU 61 – 57 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#39) | 8.9 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#51) | 1.17 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#55) | 1.64 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#72) | 0.514 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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