Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +380 IU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | IU -12.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -9.7 (+18.7) | 136.3 (+0.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -8.4 (+17.4) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -9.7 (+18.7) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -10.3 (+19.3) | 136.0 (+1.0) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | IU 77 – 47 MINN |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | IU 70 – 58 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
| Jan 26, 2023 | IU 61 – 57 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | 19.0 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#205) | 2.69 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#200) | 3.67 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#242) | 0.641 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 2.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.5% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 40.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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