He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual CAN +5 139 Lost
Massey QUIN -3.9 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 147.2 (-8.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -2.1 (-7.1) 143.4 (-4.4) 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -3.3 (-8.3) 144.6 (-5.6) 64% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -3.1 (-8.1) 145.1 (-6.1) 60% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -3.4 (-8.4) 145.9 (-6.9) 60% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 67 – 63 CAN
Feb 6, 2026 QUIN 75 – 60 CAN
Feb 7, 2025 QUIN 89 – 71 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 76 – 52 CAN
Feb 4, 2024 QUIN 88 – 63 CAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CAN
Overall 14-17 11-21
Conference 7-13 7-13
Home 8-7 9-5
Away 4-9 1-15
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 67.3
Avg Pts Against 72.1 72.5
Massey -4.9 (#251) -6.1 (#268)
Bradley-Terry -0.77 (#241) -1.23 (#275)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.05 (#248) -1.79 (#293)
RPI 0.446 (#275) 0.449 (#269)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CAN
FG% 43.3% 39.7%
3PT% 34.0% 30.4%
REB / G 34.6 34.6
OREB / G 10.1 10.9
AST / TO 1.08 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 45.7%
TOV% 18.8% 17.5%
ORB% 29.2% 28.3%
FT Rate 20.0% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 17.8%
DRB% 71.4% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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