Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | BAY -150 KU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -3.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -3.5 (+6.5) | 149.7 (+0.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -3.5 (+6.5) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -4.3 (+5.7) | 155.2 (-5.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -4.0 (+6.0) | 152.8 (-2.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | KU 80 – 62 BAY |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BAY 81 – 70 KU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BAY 82 – 74 KU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KU 64 – 61 BAY |
| Feb 18, 2023 | KU 87 – 71 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 19-1 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#5) | 19.2 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#5) | 3.61 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.20 (#6) | 4.53 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#13) | 0.664 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.