Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | NKU -230 YSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -4.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -4.9 (+9.1) | 136.8 (-0.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -4.5 (+9.5) | 140.1 (-4.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -4.1 (+9.9) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -4.1 (+9.9) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#214) | -4.3 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#227) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#238) | -1.16 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#212) | 0.452 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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