Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -4.3 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.4 (+17.4) | 141.5 (-6.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -3.1 (+18.1) | 146.9 (-11.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.9 (+17.9) | 145.9 (-10.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.7 (+17.7) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 MD |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD 83 – 59 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU 79 – 75 MD |
| Mar 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 62 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#88) | 13.7 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#99) | 2.70 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#89) | 3.32 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.613 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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