Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Tudor Fieldhouse · February 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RICE -16.0 Away covered
O/U 147.0 Over
Money RICE -1600 / USM +850
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual RICE +5 149 Won
Massey RICE -14.2 (-9.2) — —
Massey Totals — 149.7 (-0.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -11.9 (-6.9) 147.5 (+1.5) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -12.1 (-7.1) 150.1 (-1.1) 87% ✓
Baseline ML RICE -11.9 (-6.9) 149.5 (-0.5) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RICE -11.9 (-6.9) 148.7 (+0.3) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2022 RICE 76 – 62 USM
Mar 10, 2021 RICE 61 – 52 USM
Feb 6, 2021 RICE 76 – 68 USM
Feb 5, 2021 RICE 88 – 62 USM

Game Analysis

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