Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -163 USM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +9 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -2.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -2.8 (+6.2) | 138.3 (-25.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -2.0 (+7.0) | 141.3 (-28.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -2.4 (+6.6) | 141.5 (-28.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -2.4 (+6.6) | 140.8 (-27.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | RICE 77 – 72 USM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | RICE 76 – 62 USM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | RICE 76 – 68 USM |
| Feb 5, 2021 | RICE 88 – 62 USM |
Game Analysis
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