Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -188 USM +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -7.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -6.9 (+1.1) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -6.9 (+1.1) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -7.7 (+0.3) | 141.4 (+2.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -7.8 (+0.2) | 140.6 (+3.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | RICE 77 – 72 USM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | RICE 76 – 62 USM |
| Mar 10, 2021 | RICE 61 – 52 USM |
| Feb 5, 2021 | RICE 88 – 62 USM |
Game Analysis
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