Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -7.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -6.8 (-7.2) | 143.0 (-5.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -6.0 (-8.0) | 143.9 (-5.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.7 (-8.3) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -6.2 (-7.8) | 143.2 (-5.2) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | RICE 77 – 72 USM |
| Mar 10, 2021 | RICE 61 – 52 USM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | RICE 76 – 68 USM |
| Feb 5, 2021 | RICE 88 – 62 USM |
Game Analysis
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