Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -163 USM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -5.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.0 (+21.0) | 136.9 (+13.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.8 (+21.2) | 136.3 (+13.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.4 (+20.6) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -5.0 (+21.0) | 138.0 (+12.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | RICE 77 – 72 USM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | RICE 76 – 62 USM |
| Mar 10, 2021 | RICE 61 – 52 USM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | RICE 76 – 68 USM |
Game Analysis
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