Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -9.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -7.7 (+1.7) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -7.7 (+1.7) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.6 (+1.6) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.1 (+2.1) | 142.9 (-14.9) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#261) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#253) | 1.92 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#257) | 2.03 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#255) | 0.621 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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