Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -1.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -1.4 (+3.6) | 142.4 (+2.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.6 (+2.4) | 142.8 (+2.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -1.6 (+3.4) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.7 (+3.3) | 143.3 (+1.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#116) | 5.3 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#94) | 0.49 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#108) | 0.49 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#104) | 0.526 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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