Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | CIN -800 USF +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +2 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -13.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -10.8 (-12.8) | 133.1 (-23.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -11.0 (-13.0) | 132.4 (-22.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -11.6 (-13.6) | 133.6 (-23.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -11.2 (-13.2) | 133.5 (-23.5) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | CIN 84 – 65 USF |
| Jan 19, 2023 | CIN 85 – 69 USF |
| Feb 10, 2022 | CIN 70 – 59 USF |
| Dec 17, 2020 | USF 74 – 71 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#91) | -4.1 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#113) | -1.04 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#99) | -1.09 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#134) | 0.441 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 24.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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