Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -300 JKST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -8.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -7.4 (+7.6) | 128.1 (+18.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -6.3 (+8.7) | 129.1 (+17.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -6.4 (+8.6) | 126.8 (+20.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -6.1 (+8.9) | 127.5 (+19.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#190) | -6.9 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#214) | -1.66 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#215) | -2.07 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#187) | 0.439 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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