Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +170 EWU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -5.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.3 (+11.3) | 141.3 (+14.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -4.0 (+10.0) | 143.2 (+12.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -4.0 (+10.0) | 144.1 (+11.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.5 (+10.5) | 143.3 (+12.7) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#325) | -2.7 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#319) | -0.32 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#303) | -0.42 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#325) | 0.492 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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