Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -270 CSUB +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -9.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -6.9 (+5.1) | 129.5 (-17.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -7.7 (+4.3) | 132.5 (-20.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -7.1 (+4.9) | 132.7 (-20.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -8.2 (+3.8) | 132.7 (-20.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#160) | -6.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#179) | -1.64 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | -1.98 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#198) | 0.429 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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