Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | KC +230 SDST -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -7.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -5.0 (-6.0) | 152.3 (+8.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -4.9 (-6.1) | 153.6 (+7.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -5.5 (-5.5) | 156.3 (+4.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -5.1 (-5.9) | 155.3 (+5.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 18-0 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-0 |
| Away | 8-7 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 84.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#217) | 7.9 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#176) | 1.88 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | 1.95 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#167) | 0.600 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 52.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 44.2% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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