Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
| Money | ORU -270 SDAK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +5 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -7.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -6.1 (-11.1) | 157.3 (+21.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -5.5 (-10.5) | 156.7 (+22.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -5.4 (-10.4) | 158.0 (+21.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -6.1 (-11.1) | 158.6 (+20.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#140) | -3.2 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#164) | -0.36 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -0.55 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#152) | 0.481 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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