Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +175 SEA -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -7.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.2 (-0.8) | 144.7 (-6.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.4 (-1.6) | 142.6 (-4.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.6 (-1.4) | 143.4 (-5.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -7.1 (-0.9) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 67.5 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#278) | 2.9 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#235) | 0.80 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#252) | 0.84 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#227) | 0.518 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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