Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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99–28 on winners spread MAE 8.0 127 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
USC @ Purdue +11.7 144.9 87% 72–90 ✓
VCU @ Dayton -1.9 138.5 44% 73–68 ✓
Princeton @ Pennsylvania -6.4 145.5 23% 61–59 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +2.3 140.2 61% 68–62 ✗
San José State @ Boise State +15.8 143.2 89% 52–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ Saint Joseph's +6.7 142.9 77% 63–76 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -13.9 154.2 13% 89–81 ✓
Tennessee @ Oklahoma -3.8 137.4 35% 70–52 ✓
TCU @ Iowa State +12.2 137.9 87% 52–82 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan State +8.2 147.5 82% 74–86 ✓
South Carolina @ Kentucky +12.1 151.1 86% 57–80 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa -6.3 154.6 26% 79–55 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +8.4 136.4 82% 60–71 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross +0.6 130.5 55% 52–72 ✓
Seton Hall @ Georgetown +8.4 129.1 80% 46–60 ✓
Wisconsin @ Iowa -2.4 156.7 35% 74–63 ✓
Michigan @ Indiana -2.5 148.5 43% 70–67 ✓
Troy @ Miami (OH) -1.0 136.0 47% 62–69 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Western Michigan +1.5 147.8 63% 83–57 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame +6.0 132.9 72% 65–63 ✗
Bucknell @ Army +0.2 146.7 55% 110–116 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette +0.6 136.5 55% 51–61 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.6 131.3 64% 58–69 ✓
NJIT @ New Hampshire -0.1 138.6 57% 69–80 ✗
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -5.0 141.3 30% 87–72 ✓
Lipscomb @ Queens University -2.6 144.4 40% 94–81 ✓
Texas @ Vanderbilt +0.9 146.6 61% 78–86 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI +8.4 142.4 85% 70–82 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State -2.6 143.4 49% 73–81 ✗
Southern Miss @ Ball State +2.2 143.9 58% 76–77 ✓
South Alabama @ Akron +9.2 144.8 82% 67–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Eastern Michigan +1.5 143.3 59% 70–76 ✓
Louisiana @ Northern Illinois -0.8 141.7 38% 66–64 ✓
James Madison @ Toledo -0.6 145.9 42% 69–72 ✗
Georgia State @ Buffalo -3.2 157.4 38% 80–75 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Bowling Green +4.2 138.1 71% 53–67 ✓
Arkansas State @ Kent State +0.9 135.8 57% 75–76 ✓
App State @ Ohio +1.2 141.2 59% 72–59 ✗
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -7.6 162.5 24% 105–95 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +5.4 149.3 73% 79–72 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan +3.1 132.5 61% 83–84 ✓
UCF @ Baylor +11.0 160.2 84% 76–91 ✓
Miami @ Louisville +14.1 154.7 90% 78–88 ✓
UIC @ Southern Illinois +0.5 152.3 58% 67–79 ✓
Stonehill @ Long Island University +2.7 129.3 66% 59–62 ✓
American University @ Lehigh +1.2 135.5 52% 78–75 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +7.4 136.8 79% 68–82 ✓
Brown @ Columbia +2.0 151.6 61% 72–74 ✓
Yale @ Cornell -2.4 155.3 32% 103–88 ✓
Saint Francis @ Chicago State -1.1 139.6 44% 81–69 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth +2.1 148.9 66% 56–76 ✓
UMBC @ Maine +7.3 150.1 78% 50–73 ✓
Bryant @ Binghamton -5.7 149.1 23% 78–71 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky -0.8 141.7 49% 81–76 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel -0.8 136.1 43% 81–79 ✓
William & Mary @ Delaware +1.1 157.9 64% 64–74 ✓
North Alabama @ West Georgia -8.4 145.3 21% 78–61 ✓
North Dakota State @ Omaha -1.5 150.1 55% 74–85 ✗
Wofford @ Mercer -0.8 148.0 46% 77–66 ✓
Niagara @ Quinnipiac +9.9 140.1 83% 76–75 ✗
Siena @ Rider -1.1 138.9 57% 59–61 ✗
Little Rock @ Morehead State -1.9 130.7 41% 76–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International -3.5 139.2 35% 82–71 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton +1.8 144.7 62% 67–77 ✓
Radford @ Longwood +3.2 143.0 63% 71–69 ✗
Tulane @ North Texas +10.2 122.7 83% 66–76 ✓
Le Moyne @ Mercyhurst +4.3 143.9 75% 78–82 ✓
Providence @ Butler +4.8 145.1 71% 81–82 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +1.1 138.0 56% 60–77 ✓
Canisius @ Merrimack +12.5 133.2 86% 51–69 ✓
Boston College @ Syracuse +7.5 146.2 77% 86–95 ✓
Texas A&M @ Missouri +1.7 140.3 60% 67–64 ✗
Rice @ Charlotte -1.2 140.8 57% 75–78 ✗
Florida @ Auburn +9.4 153.4 75% 90–81 ✗
Houston @ Colorado -13.0 130.5 13% 69–59 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Howard +1.1 152.0 55% 78–82 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Nicholls +10.6 140.5 87% 65–81 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +4.1 152.4 70% 66–67 ✓
Rhode Island @ George Mason +9.9 137.2 83% 67–82 ✓
Murray State @ Valparaiso -1.1 141.3 47% 74–56 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming +0.2 132.1 47% 68–57 ✗
New Mexico @ Air Force -14.4 146.5 12% 88–53 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +18.7 137.6 90% 44–92 ✓
Penn State @ UCLA +8.0 140.7 83% 54–78 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State +10.8 145.2 86% 60–79 ✓
Hampton @ Northeastern +6.2 138.8 74% 84–75 ✗
Towson @ Monmouth -2.6 134.8 32% 73–67 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +9.8 136.7 82% 80–75 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Stetson -7.7 153.6 24% 83–58 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +11.5 133.9 87% 56–81 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Denver -9.5 150.6 20% 79–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +14.2 139.4 89% 70–74 ✓
Samford @ East Tennessee State +0.0 145.9 50% 59–66 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +5.0 141.4 74% 54–59 ✓
Sam Houston @ Liberty +9.6 145.3 85% 61–64 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +5.1 135.1 64% 77–67 ✗
New Orleans @ Houston Christian +8.7 146.6 80% 68–81 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +4.1 149.0 71% 72–85 ✓
Western Illinois @ UT Martin +7.8 138.1 77% 70–81 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee State +6.7 147.5 81% 76–84 ✓
Texas State @ Central Michigan +0.8 143.3 61% 70–85 ✓
Utah @ West Virginia +5.6 132.8 70% 61–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ California -0.5 140.0 47% 76–66 ✓
Missouri State @ Belmont +7.9 147.4 79% 68–85 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M -7.8 147.4 16% 81–68 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese +17.7 132.1 89% 50–65 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +7.0 138.9 76% 76–78 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington -0.2 141.5 53% 67–72 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida -1.0 158.5 46% 84–70 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +7.0 142.7 76% 67–90 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw State +0.9 145.4 53% 76–75 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State +2.8 142.5 64% 83–85 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia +3.4 131.6 66% 61–75 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Prairie View A&M -2.8 148.5 33% 85–82 ✓
Mississippi State @ Georgia +2.1 142.9 59% 76–75 ✗
Illinois @ Minnesota -9.2 148.1 23% 95–74 ✓
BYU @ Cincinnati +1.0 140.8 57% 66–84 ✓
Florida A&M @ Texas Southern +5.3 144.3 66% 66–64 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Duquesne +2.3 129.6 59% 56–69 ✓
Indiana State @ Drake +12.6 133.8 86% 81–85 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +5.1 137.1 70% 65–68 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin -1.6 137.9 41% 64–78 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word +0.3 139.3 45% 71–66 ✗
Elon @ Charleston +4.1 144.7 78% 83–88 ✓
Pepperdine @ Washington State +12.3 149.8 86% 86–87 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City +3.8 142.5 66% 69–80 ✓
Duke @ Clemson -3.9 135.0 43% 71–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.