Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | EMU -125 ODU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -2.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -2.5 (+3.5) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -2.5 (+3.5) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -1.5 (+4.5) | 143.3 (+2.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -2.6 (+3.4) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#311) | -8.8 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#235) | -0.92 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#269) | -1.17 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#245) | 0.448 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.