Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -120 MSST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -2.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -2.7 (-3.7) | 143.5 (+7.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -2.1 (-3.1) | 142.9 (+8.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.2 (-4.2) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -3.0 (-4.0) | 143.8 (+7.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UGA 102 – 96 MSST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MSST 75 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 11, 2023 | UGA 58 – 50 MSST |
| Jan 13, 2022 | MSST 88 – 72 UGA |
| Dec 31, 2020 | MSST 83 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#33) | 15.2 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#25) | 2.99 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#22) | 3.63 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#31) | 0.615 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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