Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +8 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -1.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -0.8 (+8.8) | 129.3 (-21.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -2.6 (+10.6) | 130.4 (-22.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -0.5 (+8.5) | 130.6 (-22.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -0.7 (+8.7) | 130.9 (-22.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UGA 102 – 96 MSST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MSST 76 – 75 UGA |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MSST 75 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 13, 2022 | MSST 88 – 72 UGA |
| Dec 31, 2020 | MSST 83 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#117) | 9.2 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#93) | 2.13 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#84) | 2.44 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#119) | 0.581 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.