Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | MSST -1400 UGA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +16 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -15.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -14.9 (+1.1) | 145.7 (+14.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -13.1 (+2.9) | 142.8 (+17.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -14.0 (+2.0) | 147.8 (+12.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -13.9 (+2.1) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UGA 102 – 96 MSST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MSST 76 – 75 UGA |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MSST 75 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 11, 2023 | UGA 58 – 50 MSST |
| Dec 31, 2020 | MSST 83 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-13 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#46) | -2.3 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#72) | -1.00 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#73) | -1.13 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#78) | 0.451 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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