Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA +215 FAU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +24 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -7.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.3 (-17.7) | 154.6 (-20.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -6.3 (-17.7) | 152.4 (-18.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.7 (-17.3) | 153.3 (-19.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -5.8 (-18.2) | 154.3 (-20.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FAU 102 – 70 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#266) | 3.9 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#294) | 0.48 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#286) | 0.75 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#329) | 0.542 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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