They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
University Arena (MI) · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WMU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WMU -125 / GASO +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual GASO +26 140 Lost
Massey WMU -1.3 (-27.3)
Massey Totals 151.3 (-11.3)
Bradley-Terry 37%
Weighted B-T 43%
Baseline ML WMU -0.1 (-26.1) 146.6 (-6.6) 49%
Baseline Plus ML WMU -1.1 (-27.1) 147.0 (-7.0) 58%
Efficiency Plus ML WMU -1.5 (-27.5) 147.8 (-7.8) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML WMU -0.6 (-26.6) 145.4 (-5.4) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 20, 2022 GASO 6357 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU GASO
Overall 12-20 17-16
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 6-9 11-3
Away 6-10 4-11
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.6 74.1
Avg Pts Against 77.0 76.1
Massey -8.8 (#305) -6.9 (#275)
Bradley-Terry -1.69 (#317) -0.61 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.10 (#315) -1.17 (#250)
RPI 0.425 (#312) 0.477 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU GASO
FG% 41.9% 42.6%
3PT% 26.0% 33.9%
REB / G 37.7 36.6
OREB / G 13.3 12.9
AST / TO 1.07 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 50.0%
TOV% 15.8% 19.5%
ORB% 34.4% 32.5%
FT Rate 22.0% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 18.8%
DRB% 73.1% 66.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 33.1%

Game Analysis

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